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Block #9

Tokenisering (RWA)

Worked example: forest tokenisation

Forest is the hardest of the three categories because two income streams partly exclude each other: harvesting timber earns money but reduces stored carbon. We work through one file: 250 hectares of mixed production forest in southern Sweden combined with a verified carbon project.

Joris VandenbrouckeSkrevet av Redacteur regelgeving, GentOppdatert Kvalitetssikret av redaksjonen

The case in brief

A Swedish company buys 250 hectares for 2.25 million euro, roughly 9,000 euro per hectare including standing timber. Shares are issued as 4,500 tokens of 500 euro, with a fifteen-year horizon.

Two streams: phased thinning and final felling under an approved management plan, and carbon credits from improved forest management that raises the harvest age. The second stream exists only once a recognised standard certifies the project and credits actually sell.

Key figures

Area
250 ha

Mixed conifer and broadleaf

Purchase price
9,000 EUR/ha

Land plus timber

Token
500 EUR

4,500 tokens

Timber income
~280 EUR/ha/yr

Averaged over the cycle

Carbon credits
2-4 t/ha/yr

Only after verification

Horizon
15 years

Harvest plan binding

Process steps

Forestry has a longer runway than land, mostly because of certification. A carbon project must set a baseline, prove additionality, write a monitoring plan and pass external validation before a single credit exists.

Expect nine to eighteen months to first issuance and periodic reverification after. Projects promising credits before validation are selling an expectation, not a product.

From purchase to first credit sale

  1. 01

    1. Forest inventory

    Weeks 1-6, standing volume and species

  2. 02

    2. Valuation of land and timber

    Weeks 4-8, valued separately

  3. 03

    3. Purchase and registration

    Weeks 8-12

  4. 04

    4. Management plan and FSC/PEFC

    Months 3-6

  5. 05

    5. Baseline and additionality

    Months 4-9

  6. 06

    6. External validation

    Months 9-14

  7. 07

    7. Token issuance

    In parallel with structuring

  8. 08

    8. Monitoring and verification

    Every 3-5 years

  9. 09

    9. Credit issuance and sale

    From month 12-18

  10. 10

    10. Thinning, felling and exit

    Years 5, 10 and 15

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Parties involved

Forestry adds a category absent from art and land: the carbon standard, the validating auditor and the credit registry. Without those three a CO2 claim cannot be verified.

Also check double counting. If the host country already counts the sequestration towards its national climate target, the same tonne can be claimed twice. Serious projects show explicitly how that is handled.

Parties and their role

PartyRoleWhat to watch
Forest owner/sellerSupplies land and timberRecent felling before sale
Forest managerExecutes the planManagement quality drives growth
AppraiserValues land and timber separatelyTimber prices are cyclical
FSC/PEFC certifierSustainable managementRequired by many buyers
Carbon standardMethodology and registrationQuality varies widely
Validating auditorIndependent verificationNo audit, no credit
Credit registryIssuance and retirementPrevents double counting
InsurerFire, storm, pestsCoverage is often limited
Credit buyerCorporates with targetsDemand and price are volatile
GovernmentFelling permits and subsidiesPolicy can restrict harvest

Returns and the timber-carbon trade-off

Timber income is fairly predictable: around 280 euro per hectare per year across the cycle, concentrated in thinning years and final felling. On 250 hectares that averages just over 70,000 euro a year against management costs near 60 euro per hectare.

Carbon is optional and far less certain. At two to four tonnes per hectare per year and fifteen to twenty-five euro per tonne, that theoretically adds 7,500 to 25,000 euro a year — before verification costs, buffer pools of ten to twenty per cent of credits and a thin market take their share.

More importantly, the streams conflict. Earning more credits means delaying harvest, so less timber income near term. Any plan that simply adds both without naming the trade-off is unrealistic.

  • Timber: predictable but cyclical and lumpy
  • Carbon: higher margin, much higher uncertainty
  • You cannot maximise both streams at once

What to check

Forest tokenisation attracts both serious forestry funds and very optimistic carbon stories.

  • Is there a recent inventory with standing volume per species?
  • Are land and timber valued separately?
  • Which carbon standard applies, and is the project validated?
  • How large is the buffer pool for fire and storm risk?
  • Is double counting with the national target excluded?
  • Who buys the credits, and at what agreed price?
  • How does the harvest plan interact with the carbon claim?
  • What insurance covers fire, storm and pests, and up to what amount?
  • What is the exit: selling the forest, or only token transfer?

Ofte stilte spørsmål

Do I own forest or a carbon credit?

Neither directly: you hold a share in the company that owns the forest and issues the credits. Credit proceeds flow to the vehicle.

What happens in a forest fire?

Buffer pools in the registry and a separate property policy exist, but rarely cover full damage. Fire is the single largest risk in this category.

Are carbon credits a reliable income source?

Only with a recognised standard, external validation and a buyer under a long-term contract. Without those three the revenue is an assumption.

Can I visit the forest?

For European projects usually yes, and it is worth doing. Satellite imagery and an annual report do not tell you everything about management quality.

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