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On-chain data: what actually means something?

Blockchains publish everything, which is the problem: too much data, too little context.

Thijs MolenaarSkriven av Redacteur beleggen, Den HaagUppdaterad Granskad av redaktionen

Active addresses

Daily unique active addresses give a rough usage impression, useful as a trend rather than an absolute.

Weakness: one user can hold hundreds of addresses, and growth around airdrops is usually artificial.

Transaction volume and settled value

Value settled per day says something about economic relevance, especially filtered by size.

Weakness: internal transfers count too, so prefer adjusted figures.

  • Look at multi-month trends
  • Be sceptical of incentive-driven spikes
  • Compare metrics with fees or revenue

Fees as a demand measure

Fees paid are hard to fake: someone spends real money for block space.

Comparing fees to network value is one of the few ratios resembling revenue versus market cap.

TVL and why it misleads

Total value locked double-counts borrowed positions and rises automatically with price.

Use it as a rough indication alongside protocol revenue and returning users.

Supply distribution and holder behaviour

Dormancy metrics show whether holders sell or hold; useful as sentiment, not as prediction.

Treat every metric as one puzzle piece.

Vanliga frågor

Which on-chain metric is most useful?

Fees paid and the number of returning real users; both are hard to inflate.

Is TVL a good measure?

Limited — it double-counts and moves with price.

Can on-chain data predict prices?

No. It explains usage and behaviour, not future price.

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