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Block #9

Mining

Halving and mining economics

The halving is the only moment where an entire industry's revenue drops by half in a single block. The adjustment that follows decides who survives.

Sanne VermeulenWritten by Marktredacteur, AmsterdamUpdated Checked by the editorial desk

What happens exactly

Every 210,000 blocks — roughly four years — issuance per block halves. Fees remain, but historically they are a small fraction of the reward.

Miner costs do not change that day, so margins effectively halve unless price rises.

The adjustment afterwards

Loss-making machines switch off, hashrate falls and difficulty corrects downwards, raising revenue per terahash for those who remain.

Each halving makes the sector more efficient and more capital intensive.

  • Reward halves immediately
  • Hashrate dips temporarily
  • Difficulty corrects within weeks

Towards a fee-driven model

Long term, fees must replace the subsidy. That is the key open question around bitcoin's security budget.

Anything that changes block space demand matters more to miners than to users.

Frequently asked questions

Does price always rise after a halving?

No. There are too few observations for a reliable pattern, and markets anticipate a known date.

When is the next halving?

Roughly every four years; the exact date depends on block times.

What does a halving do to my machine?

Revenue per terahash halves immediately and partly recovers as difficulty falls.

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