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Block #9

Valuation models

How do you value a crypto asset?

Seven transparent models — from Stock-to-Flow to cash-flow valuation — applied to live market data. Adjust the assumptions, compare assets and save your own expectation. All nine models — including Metcalfe and Realized Price — are explained on the explainer page.

Compare models

All assets side by side on scarcity, dilution and priced-in market size.

Compare models
AssetPriceMarket capS2F model priceTAM 5%Dilution
Bitcoin BTCView models
Ethereum ETHView models
Solana SOLView models
XRP XRPView models
Cardano ADAView models
Polkadot DOTView models
Chainlink LINKView models
Avalanche AVAXView models
Litecoin LTCView models
Dogecoin DOGEView models
Tether USDTView models
USD Coin USDCView models
Dai DAIView models
Ethena USDe USDeView models
PayPal USD PYUSDView models
First Digital USD FDUSDView models
USDD USDDView models
TrueUSD TUSDView models
Euro Coin EURCView models
STASIS EURO EURSView models
Monerium EUR EUReView models
Sky Dollar USDSView models
World Liberty Financial USD USD1View models
Global Dollar USDGView models
Circle USYC USYCView models
BlackRock USD (BUIDL) BUIDLView models
BNB BNBView models
Tron TRXView models
Base BASEView models
Hyperliquid HYPEView models
Arbitrum ARBView models
Polygon POLView models
Monad MONView models
Plasma XPLView models
Provenance HASHView models

Models

A model is not a forecast. Read how it works, what it assumes and where it breaks.

  • Stock-to-Flow (S2F)

    Scarcity as a yardstick: existing stock divided by annual new issuance.

    S2F = voorraad / jaarlijkse uitgifte · prijs ≈ 0,4 × S2F³ (USD)

    How does this model work?
  • Power law (time model)

    Price as a power function of network age in days.

    prijs ≈ a × dagen^b (log-log regressie sinds genesis)

    How does this model work?
  • Mayer Multiple (200-day average)

    How far is price above or below its 200-day moving average?

    Mayer = koers / 200-daags voortschrijdend gemiddelde

    How does this model work?
  • NVT proxy (network value / turnover)

    Crypto's price-earnings analogue: market value divided by traded volume.

    NVT = marktkapitalisatie / 24u-volume

    How does this model work?
  • Addressable market model (TAM)

    What if this asset captures a share of an existing market?

    prijs = (marktomvang × veroverd aandeel) / circulerend aanbod

    How does this model work?
  • Cash-flow model (network revenue × multiple)

    Value a blockchain like a business: annual fee revenue times a valuation multiple.

    prijs = (jaarlijkse netwerkinkomsten × multiple) / circulerend aanbod

    How does this model work?
  • Supply and dilution model

    What happens to price once the full supply is in circulation?

    verwaterde prijs = huidige marktwaarde / totaal aanbod

    How does this model work?
Full explanation of the models

Not investment advice. Models are scenarios, not forecasts.

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